MadGez
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What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
Pretty simple. There are a few Aussies on the board - but this is for everyone.
What do you guys think Australia will do here in Oz? The hype has been unheard of and people will go to see it just to see what the hype is about - even though reviews have been mixed and their is a backlash of sorts.
So what do you guys think it will do?
Here are the top 40 (or so) films of all time in Oz...
1Titanic57.64m
2Shrek 250.38m
3The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King49.37m
4Crocodile Dundee47.7m
5The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring47.42m
6The Dark Knight47.0m
7The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers45.65m
8Harry Potter and the Philosopher’s Stone42.34m
9Star Wars: Episode I – The Phantom Menace38.82m
10Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man’s Chest38.05m
11Finding Nemo37.39m
12Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets37.37m
13Babe36.77m
14Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire35.72m
15Mamma Mia!35.0m
16Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix35.52m
17Star Wars: Episode III – Revenge of the Sith35.45m
18The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe35.16m
19Meet the Fockers34.97m
20Star Wars: Episode II – Attack of the Clones33.86m
21Shrek The Third33.72m
22The Matrix Reloaded33.62m
23Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban33.14m
24Piratesof the Caribbean: At World’s End33.09m
25Jurassic Park33m
26E.T.32.66m
27Casino Royale32.21m
28Shrek32.09m
29Happy Feet31.78m
30The Simpsons Movie31.43m
31Gladiator31.11m
32Spider-Man30.84m
33Forrest Gump30.56m
34Star Wars229.64m
35Independence Day29.49m
36The Sixth Sense29.3m
37Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull27.0m
38My Big Fat Greek Wedding27.98m
39Transformers27.91m
40Moulin Rouge27.72m
41The Lion King27.1m
42Sex and the City27.0m
------------------------------------------
Even though It may become the biggest film of all time here, I think there will be enough backlash to keep it out of reach of Titanic.
Im going for $55m
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O
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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
Two things, first the rest of us, what backlash has been happening?
Second, just look at the monster gross of Dundee. It's still #4 of all time, after 22 years. I think that despite an early backlash, the film will make a lot of money there. I'm thinking at least $50 m, but see it doing $60 m +.

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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
Max 30M.
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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
Top 5
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MadGez
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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
O wrote:
Two things, first the rest of us, what backlash has been happening?
Second, just look at the monster gross of Dundee. It's still #4 of all time, after 22 years. I think that despite an early backlash, the film will make a lot of money there. I'm thinking at least $50 m, but see it doing $60 m +.
There are a number of blogs and posts on different sites attacking the media hype and Kidman et al. Also cringing at the possible depiction of Aussies and the country (I say "possible" because most havnt seen it yet so are only assuming)
But its definitely going to be big. Especially among adults over 40.
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getluv
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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
im thinking it might make A$35-40m should have great legs as well even if the opening is warm. HSM3, Four Christmases (I refuse to call it by the Australian title, seriously wtf Roadshow) open next week and Twilight opens the following week, but i don't see any competition coming until boxing day.
the backlash i'm hearing about is the whole stolen generation thing. many Australians are still supremely ignorant when it comes to Aboriginal people. and i think this might embarrass Australia a bit, i really think so. cuz judging by the reviews by the American critics, they are really shocked at the practices of the Australian government at that time.

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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
I don't think this will top AUD$40m, not feeling this one at the momment. The promotion is massive, but i'm not sure if people are really that interested. The first thing that comes to mind for people is the ridiculous running time.
This is going to have a big opening, then drop heavily in the 2nd week, before showing legs through the Christmas break.
Right now i'm thinking a Mamma Mia rivaling $35m.
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MadGez
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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
Emily Gilmore wrote:
im thinking it might make A$35-40m should have great legs as well even if the opening is warm. HSM3, Four Christmases (I refuse to call it by the Australian title, seriously wtf Roadshow) open next week and Twilight opens the following week, but i don't see any competition coming until boxing day.
the backlash i'm hearing about is the whole stolen generation thing. many Australians are still supremely ignorant when it comes to Aboriginal people. and i think this might embarrass Australia a bit, i really think so. cuz judging by the reviews by the American critics, they are really shocked at the practices of the Australian government at that time.
Just on Four Christmasas - totally agree. Saw the poster on a bus stop and couldnt stop laughing. Thats the most stupid name change ive ever seen. It actually changes the meaning of the title.
I hope yours and Arch's estimate of $35-$40m is more of what it will make.
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Nazgul9
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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
I really looked forward to it but some recent reviews i stumpled upon aren't just underwhelming but plain awful. Any link to a gushing reception to regain interest?
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getluv
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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
Variety and Hollywood Reporter.

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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
http://uk.rottentomatoes.com/m/australia/
The reviews are pretty sucky

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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
What's the Australian title for Four Christmases?
As for the topic: I see around $45-50 million.
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MadGez
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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
Dr. Lecter wrote:
What's the Australian title for Four Christmases?
As for the topic: I see around $45-50 million.
"Four Holidays"
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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
It's not as bad as in Germany where it was given a title that makes it sound like a sequel to Mee the Parents (no shit).
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MadGez
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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
Really? Local distributors have no clue sometimes. Though I can understand that changing it to another language can result in some odd names but why do that in Oz.
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MadGez
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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
Quote:
JAMES Bond star Daniel Craig has got his way - he wanted to thrash Nicole Kidman and he has
With the first-day box office figures in for both stars' movies, Craig's latest Bond flick Quantum of Solace has easily beaten Kidman's much-hyped epic Australia.
Australia grossed $1.3 million at the box office on its opening day on Wednesday.
Director Baz Luhrmann's romance starring Kidman and Hugh Jackman collected $1,307,853 in ticket sales nationally according to Nielsen EDI figures published by Screen Australia.
It more than doubled the $575,596 taken on the opening day of Luhrmann's last film, Moulin Rouge! in 2001.
But it fell way short of the $2.03 million racked up on one day by the latest James Bond caper Quantum of Solace when it was released last week.
In an interview with news.com.au last week, Craig was asked whether he wanted his film to thrash his former co-star's.
“God yes. What kind of stupid question is that?," he replied.
However, he did admit he couldn’t wait to see Australia because he was a “big Baz Luhrmann fanâ€Â.
Craig worked with Kidman in The Golden Compass and The Invasion.
With AAP
With the same multiplier as Bond - it would make $7.58m (Wed-Sun). Though I think its multiplier will be a bit better because its a longer film and should play a bit better on the weekend. So $8-$9m is in play.
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MARVEL_ROCKS
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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
This movie wasn't marketed well at all.

getluv
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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
Wednesday is an unusual day for a release in Australia, and i don't think it's a "must see it opening day" kind of movie. so its off to a good start.
Last edited by getluv on Thu Nov 27, 2008 4:23 am, edited 1 time in total.

getluv
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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
MadGez wrote:
Really? Local distributors have no clue sometimes. Though I can understand that changing it to another language can result in some odd names but why do that in Oz.
one of the worst ones:
The Rundown >>>>> Welcome to the Jungle
13 Going on 30 >>>>> Suddenly 30

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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
MadGez wrote:
Quote:
JAMES Bond star Daniel Craig has got his way - he wanted to thrash Nicole Kidman and he has
With the first-day box office figures in for both stars' movies, Craig's latest Bond flick Quantum of Solace has easily beaten Kidman's much-hyped epic Australia.
Australia grossed $1.3 million at the box office on its opening day on Wednesday.
Director Baz Luhrmann's romance starring Kidman and Hugh Jackman collected $1,307,853 in ticket sales nationally according to Nielsen EDI figures published by Screen Australia.
It more than doubled the $575,596 taken on the opening day of Luhrmann's last film, Moulin Rouge! in 2001.
But it fell way short of the $2.03 million racked up on one day by the latest James Bond caper Quantum of Solace when it was released last week.
In an interview with news.com.au last week, Craig was asked whether he wanted his film to thrash his former co-star's.
“God yes. What kind of stupid question is that?," he replied.
However, he did admit he couldn’t wait to see Australia because he was a “big Baz Luhrmann fanâ€Â.
Craig worked with Kidman in The Golden Compass and The Invasion.
With AAP
With the same multiplier as Bond - it would make $7.58m (Wed-Sun). Though I think its multiplier will be a bit better because its a longer film and should play a bit better on the weekend. So $8-$9m is in play.
Not huge, but it's not that bad. $1.3m Wednesday is the 6th largest opening Wednesday on record. Quantum is at #4. Of course the slightly longer running time will hurt, it needs to have pretty good WOM to overcome this or people will thing it's too long and not enough entertainment to last.
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getluv
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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
u have to deduct 15 minutes at the end for the closing credit. i think people forget this. though its still a 2.5 hr film with that deducted.

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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
Emily Gilmore wrote:
MadGez wrote:
Really? Local distributors have no clue sometimes. Though I can understand that changing it to another language can result in some odd names but why do that in Oz.
one of the worst ones:
The Rundown >>>>> Welcome to the Jungle
13 Going on 30 >>>>> Suddenly 30
Here:
The Rundown >> Welcome to the Jungle
13 Going on 30 >> 30 Over Night
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getluv
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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
According to Variety: US$5m opening = A$7.8m
Should clear A$30m

Dr. Lecter
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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
How's the WoM?
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MadGez
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Re: What will be the total gross of Australia.......in Australia
getluv wrote:
According to Variety: US$5m opening = A$7.8m
Should clear A$30m
So its inline with Bond's multiplier. $30m sounds about right.
WOM I dont know - but its drawing demos that dont go to the movies often. Probably not drawing the teen demo as much though.
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