Boston Red Sox at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions (2024)

TheBoston Red Sox (60-51) and Kansas City Royals (63-51) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is set for 8:08 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’slines around theRed Sox vs. Royals oddsand make our expertMLB picks and predictionsfor the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 3-1

The Red Sox won the opener 9-5 Monday. They took Royals RHP Brady Singer to task, pounding out 4 earned runs on 10 hits, with multi-RBI performances from LF Jarren Duran, C Connor Wong, and 1B Romy Gonzalez. DH Masataka Yoshida went 4-for-5 with 2 runs scored, and Boston accumulated 18 hits against the Kansas City pitching staff. The Red Sox are 33-23 on the road and 52-59 against the spread (ATS).

The Royals offense could not do much against Red Sox LHP James Paxton (6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K). Royals 1B Vinnie Pasquantino did hit his 16th home run of the season for Kansas City, which is 36-23 at home and 63-51 ATS.

Red Sox at Royals projected starters

RHP Brayan Bellovs. RHP Seth Lugo

Bello (10-5, 5.13 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 107 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 3-2 home victory vs. Seattle Mariners Wednesday
• 2024 road splits: 6-2, 4.58 ERA (55 IP, 28 ER), 1.60 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 10 starts
• 2024 vs. Royals: 1-0, 4.26 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 7 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 1 start, a 5-4 home win July 14
• Career vs. Royals: 1-0, 2.77 ERA (13 IP, 4 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 3.5 K/9 in 2 starts

Lugo (13-5, 2.57 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 150 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 8 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 7-1 victory at Detroit Tigers Thursday
• 2024 home splits: 5-3, 2.80 ERA (70 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 in 11 starts
• Only career start vs. Red Sox: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 5-0 road loss July 13
• Career vs. Red Sox: 0-2, 7.56 ERA (8 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.56 WHIP, 9.7 K/9 in 4 appearances (1 start)

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Red Sox at Royals odds

Provided byFanDuel Sportsbook; accessUSA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:13 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Royals -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Red Sox +1.5 (-192) | Royals -1.5 (+158)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Red Sox at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Royals 4

Moneyline

BET RED SOX (+110).

I’m riding the momentum with Boston Tuesday. It has won 4 of its last 5 games, including the series opener. The Red Sox are also hitting over .300 as a team since the All-Star break. They have also been road warriors this season, 10 games above .500 on the road. That can’t be a huge surprise when the Red Sox have a better batting average and ERA on the road than at Fenway. Kansas City has dropped 2 of its last 3.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’m going to keep my bet to the moneyline.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5(-105).

It is hard to ignore the trends with both of these teams. They went Over in the series opener. The Over has hit 9 of the last 10 Red Sox games and in 7 of 10 for the Royals. Oh, and the Over has hit in 6 of Bello’s last 8 starts.

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